CDR(NN)

A regression technique for temporally diffuse effects

In many real world time series, events trigger “ripples” in a dependent variable that unfold slowly and overlap in time (temporal diffusion). Recovering the underlying dynamics of temporally diffuse effects is challenging when events and/or responses occur at irregular intervals. Continuous-time deconvolutional regression (CDR) is a regression technique for time series that directly models temporal diffusion of effects (Shain & Schuler, 2018, 2021) as a funtion of continuous time. CDR uses machine learning to estimate continuous-time impulse response functions (IRFs) that mediate between predictors (event properties) and responses. Given data and a model template specifying the functional form(s) of the IRF kernel(s), CDR finds IRF parameters that optimize some objective function. This approach can be generalized to account for non-stationary, non-linear, non-additive, and context-dependent response functions by implementing the IRF as a deep neural network (CDRNN; Shain, 2021).

Related publications

  1. ACL
    CDRNN: Discovering complex dynamics in human language processing
    Shain, Cory
    In Proceedings of the Joint Conference of the 59th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics and the 11th International Joint Conference on Natural Language Processing 2021
  2. Cognition
    Continuous-time deconvolutional regression for psycholinguistic modeling
    Shain, Cory, and Schuler, William
    Cognition 2021
  3. Npsy
    fMRI reveals language-specific predictive coding during naturalistic sentence comprehension
    Neuropsychologia 2020
  4. NAACL
    A large-scale study of the effects of word frequency and predictability in naturalistic reading
    Shain, Cory
    In Proceedings of the 2019 Conference of the North American Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics: Human Language Technologies, Volume 1 (Long and Short Papers) 2019
  5. EMNLP
    Deconvolutional time series regression: A technique for modeling temporally diffuse effects
    Shain, Cory, and Schuler, William
    In Proceedings of the 2018 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing 2018